Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.859443 12.053501 13.338197 14.825442 16.502578 18.338502 20.504758
2025-08-31 8.944620 10.562390 12.428390 14.749161 17.570975 20.906815 25.172694
2025-09-07 7.774879 9.675225 12.001189 15.079461 19.078812 24.143171 31.111862
2025-09-14 6.716442 8.735475 11.334267 14.962298 19.956131 26.675893 36.551511
2025-09-21 5.832346 7.877490 10.626311 14.646313 20.468231 28.738186 41.637471
2025-09-28 5.194738 7.255133 10.133331 14.522378 21.179641 31.119300 47.507849
2025-10-05 4.853345 6.995983 10.100600 15.028488 22.845012 35.098019 56.442240
2025-10-12 4.549486 6.748764 10.043508 15.469505 24.440998 39.161704 66.177961
2025-10-19 4.208092 6.402675 9.789203 15.553431 25.448228 42.373967 74.967682
2025-10-26 3.866694 6.018342 9.428159 15.407969 26.029894 44.908691 82.926239
2025-11-02 3.556296 5.651405 9.053733 15.187375 26.434837 47.156576 90.691637
2025-11-09 3.275150 5.305145 8.676975 14.913584 26.695473 49.149380 98.264610
2025-11-16 3.033904 5.010096 8.368361 14.744169 27.161980 51.669230 107.574986
2025-11-23 2.835076 4.770605 8.134004 14.685612 27.836815 54.711559 118.665459
2025-11-30 2.714183 4.656818 8.111617 15.023962 29.346180 59.713150 135.318076
2025-12-07 2.542566 4.436524 7.873260 14.912511 29.910473 62.767320 147.950075
2025-12-14 2.362171 4.184878 7.553091 14.600494 30.003773 64.779364 158.388103
2025-12-21 2.222590 3.997689 7.338136 14.478500 30.492053 67.767752 172.044548
2025-12-28 2.166657 3.964515 7.418412 14.983733 32.459561 74.603044 197.916804
2026-01-04 2.106528 3.917806 7.466629 15.423746 34.335927 81.535669 225.866678
2026-01-11 2.014233 3.799971 7.359713 15.507655 35.369278 86.482111 249.116132
2026-01-18 1.907236 3.644392 7.161429 15.362819 35.818356 89.953151 268.619344
2026-01-25 1.801828 3.484373 6.940737 15.143030 36.049160 92.868375 287.086704